Understood. I can also see it that way, it's a fair point of view to take.
When I said risk, what I meant was that in order for this to really be a viable thing for a HBS in the fashion that Graham suggests (from my perspective only, please don't anyone interpret this as me trying to speak for any other HBS because their situations are/will be different), we kind of have to have a market to sell them into fairly quickly when it comes to a new hop, as in my opinion no favours are being done to the hops if the vast majority of the shipment is going to sit there for months on end deteriorating before the end user gets to brew with them. I have had some experience with trying to get a few more NZ whole flower hops onto the local market, and I have to say that I either used or gave away most of the first buy of whole flower hops that I got in, as simply put.....no-one bought them. No matter, I made a huge number of Hallertau Pacific, B-Saaz and Pacific Gem brews, and over time some some of the other local guys got into them, with some now staunch followers who refuse to use anything else. But to cut a long story short, it was a considerable investment that is simply put 'not in the budget' for a great many HBS. At the time my wife thought I was crazy, and my neighbours thought I was dealing drugs (At the time I only remember opening my first 5kg vacpac of flowers and being in love with these little green gems inside, which is why on a primal homebrewer level I envy the guys who get to break down 200kg-500kg of hops - and I also understand how much work this is really going to be for those involved, bagging even that minimum weight of hops.)
I'm not trying to stop the buy -
a: because I couldn't if I tried, nor do I really want to in all honesty because i respect the right of the consumer to make the decisions.
b: I'm personally a little curious. (So sue me)
I just think that there's a huge difference between an investigatory purchase to check that the quality is OK and everything is kosher, and then telling your local retailer that you are aware of them, and might like to buy them if he can get them - and say...buying half a tonne and dumping it on a number of local markets at the same time right across a country. It's just another point of view, I'm just saying in general that some caution is due with respect to both the quality with a new product, and also in terms of all the effects that product and it's pricing will have on the businesses that supply a number of things for you should you choose to purchase from them, but may reasonably heavily depend on the income stream from that product. This is turning into a very large buy in my opinion, it is likely to have several effects, possibly not all of them good. That's all. Just a small voice of reason, a 'turkey' sticking it's neck out in a room full of axes. (I'm sure that even as I type this, people are posting me to bits for having the gall...)
and yes, I got stuck into Graham a little but he can handle it - I'm sure it's old hat as he doesn't mince his words either. My problem is with the 'stick it to the LHBS that's ripping me off' mentality that has been projected. Not all HBS are like that...there's a big gap between us and certain other chain brewing stores, and that's deliberate on my behalf. Broad statements from those with an audience, tar us with the same brush as those we are trying to be least like.